| Odlyzko on Broadband Adoption
|
Andrew Odlyzko sent the following to the attendees of a small conference I was at recently:
U.S. Broadband Lines | U.S. Cell Phones |
Dec 1999 2.8 M | Dec 1989 3.5 M |
Dec 2000 7.1 | Dec 1990 5.3 |
| Dec 2001 12.8 | Dec 1991 7.6 |
Dec 2002 20.0 (est.) | Dec 1992 11.0 |
| | Dec 1993 16.0 | |
| | Dec 1994 24.1 |
Broadband data for 1999-2001 from FCC statistics, covering both business and residential connections, with broadband defined as anything with more than 200 Kbps in at least one direction, cell phone data from CTIA |
Thus broadband growth in three years equals cell phone growth over 5 years. Hence even though cell phones beat broadband connections by almost exactly a 10:1 margin as of Dec. 2001, they spread more slowly.
These figures come from an article called "The Many Paradoxes of Broadband."
Posted
by D. Weinberger at September 17, 2002 01:59 PM