| The Oscar Winners, 24 hours early
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Here are my predictions, based on a studious not-seeing of any of the major movies and a failure to correctly predict Oscar winners for 25 consecutive years. (The numbers indicates my degree of certainty.)
Picture: Brokeback 1.0
Directing: Brokeback 0.9
Actress: Reese Witherspoon 1.0
Actor: Philip Seymour Hoffman 1.0
Supporting Actress: Michelle Williams 0.6
Supporting Actor: George Clooney 0.75
Animated Feature: Wallace & Gromit (0.8)
Cinematography: Brokeback (0.9)
Costume: Geisha (0.8)
Doc. Feature: Penguins (0.8)
Doc. Short: God Sleeps (0.7)
Foreign: Paradise Now (0.4)
Score: Brokeback (0.6)
Song: Crash (0.7)
Makeup: Cinderella (0.5)
Editing: Crash (0.5)
Effects: King Kong (0.8)
Sound editing: King Kong (0.5)
Sound mixing: Memoirs (0.5)
Adapted Screenplay: Brokeback (0.7)
Original Screenplay: Crash (0.9)
Short film, live: Last Farm (0.4)
Short film, animated: Band (0.3)
Now that you know who wins, you can relax and enjoy Jon Stewart. You're welcome!
[Tags: oscars stupid_predictions]
Posted
by D. Weinberger at March 4, 2006 07:27 PM
Comments
Regarding Brokeback, I think the adapted screenplay is the most worthy award for this film.
Someone gave me a copy of the short story by Annie Proulx published in The New Yorker, 1977. Larry McMurtry (Last Picture Show, Lonesome Dove) cowrote the screenplay. She's a keen observer of the Montana populace and has a good ear for dialogue. I'll probably wind up reading more of her short stories.
I think there's a pervasive misperception that this work is an advocacy piece for a particular sociopolitical viewpoint. Taken this way, some may see it as threatening. It certainly has been glibly categorized (we do love our tags which can obscure all subtlety) as that "gay cowboy movie." Which I guess means that it is similar to Midnight Cowboy, if you want to use the same label.
Speaking of PS Hoffman, yesterday I was in a movie theatre and had to watch the trailer to Mission Impossible III (revenge of the psychiatric community), and saw that he's playing the villain. What a sellout.
Posted by: Bill K. | March 5, 2006 10:10 AM
Just to note: My list is of predictions, not of preferences.
As for PSH "selling out" by being in MI3: Yikes! I don't think being in an entertainment constitutes selling out. I mean, MI3 is likely to suck worse than the first two, but why shouldn't he take the work that's offered him, and even occasionally go for a big paycheck? It doesn't bother me at all.
Posted by: David Weinberger![[TypeKey Profile Page]](http://www.hyperorg.com/blogger/nav-commenters.gif)
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March 5, 2006 02:08 PM
I'll stick with The Da Colbert Code for my predictions. Five for Five amazing.
Posted by: Norm![[TypeKey Profile Page]](http://www.hyperorg.com/blogger/nav-commenters.gif)
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March 6, 2006 01:35 PM