The long tail of baby names
Parade magazine today reports on the top ten names for baby boys and girls this year:
|
Jacob |
Emily |
|
Michael |
Isabella |
|
Ethan |
Emma |
|
Joshua |
Ava |
|
Daniel |
Madison |
|
Christopher |
Sophia |
|
Anthony |
Olivia |
|
William |
Abigail |
|
Matthew |
Hannah |
|
Andrew |
Elizabeth |
Ok, but I seem to meet more and more kids with one-off names. Isn’t the long tail of names getting longer every year?


Hey, I’m finally in the top ten of something! And our grandmother Emma has made a comeback. It is a name I have been fond of anyway.
Andy
What, no “David” or “AKMA”?
Actually, I’m surprised about “David,” as someone yesterday said it is always in the top ten (before I saw this list). Well, if AKMA were spelled Akma it would probably be found high up in the list.
I took a digital history class where we used the baby name wizard (at http://www.babynamewizard.com/.....voyager) to track historical trends. For example, you can see changes in immigration trends by comparing results for Mary with results for Maria. Maybe the one-offs signal an important change that we’ll be able to pinpoint 50 years from now.
In the UK, over the past two hundred years the slope of the power law approximating name popularity has gotten flatter, after not changing much for the previous four hundred years.
“Getting longer” seems to me to be not a good way to think about name popularity or the “long tail.”
As a matter fact, it is a power law graph…
http://www.galbithink.org/name.....s.htm